Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235039           4          40          44          11           1        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000943983           1          35          53          11           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   6.99482e-07           1           0          55          37           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.75       18.75       56.00       20.75        2.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C7.2