Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235127           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000947674           1          35          50          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   7.03290e-07           1           0          56          35           8        C8.5
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.00       21.00       52.00       21.75        3.25     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5