Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234235           4          47          37          11           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000937099           4          39          48           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   6.16750e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.5
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.50       27.00       53.00       16.25        1.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C9.0