Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233215           4          48          37          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000921980           6          48          40           6           0        B9.3
GOES Xray  =   5.37348e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             3.75       35.50       45.75       14.25        0.75     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5