Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232593           5          41          46           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000906459           6          51          35           8           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   4.81288e-07           2           1          70          26           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             4.75       34.25       48.50       12.00        0.50     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5