Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232761           4          44          42          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000908462           5          52          35           8           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   5.01074e-07           2           1          61          35           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             4.00       33.25       47.00       15.00        0.75     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8