Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232283           6          43          44           7           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000894677           5          43          43           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   4.40793e-07           1           2          83          13           1        C3.6
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             3.75       26.75       59.25        9.25        1.00     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5