Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232363           5          40          47           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000895923           5          45          41           9           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   4.12061e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             4.00       35.25       49.25       11.00        0.50     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5