Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231291           9          39          42          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000880348           7          45          43           5           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   3.86214e-07           1           4          79          16           0        C3.1
est. ISN   =            36           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             6.00       35.00       48.75       10.25        0.00     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8