Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232208           6          42          46           6           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000898876           5          43          42          10           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   4.26626e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            51           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             2.75       26.25       59.00       11.25        0.75     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3