Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232936           4          47          38          11           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000911946           8          49          36           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   4.98795e-07           2           1          63          34           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             4.75       33.25       46.75       14.75        0.50     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      M6.8