Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235485           4          42          44          10           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000958299           2          33          52          12           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   7.43031e-07           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.00       23.25       52.50       20.00        2.25     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C8.7