Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236615           1          32          56           9           2        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979037           3          22          52          20           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   8.69917e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =            60           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             1.75       17.75       55.00       22.25        3.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8