Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237665           3          25          60          10           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000993357           2          21          49          24           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   9.72923e-07           1           0          37          52          10        M1.2
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.00       16.50       52.00       25.25        4.25     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C6.6