Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237256           1          27          59          11           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000984425           3          19          51          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   9.30163e-07           1           0          46          44           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.50       13.50       55.75       25.50        3.75     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7