Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240310           2          13          63          19           3        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102772           3          16          56          22           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.25592e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            76           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.75        9.50       50.75       32.00        6.00     C5.8
 
realized                                                                                      C7.4