Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242197           2          14          60          20           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105916           2          14          59          20           5        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   1.43212e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.50        7.00       54.75       29.75        7.00     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C9.5