Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241459           3          16          62          17           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104451           2          17          57          20           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.37363e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.75        8.25       54.75       29.00        6.25     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4