Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243544           3          16          54          22           5        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107941           2          12          66          17           3        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   1.55482e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.75        7.00       55.00       29.50        6.75     C5.8
 
realized                                                                                      M8.5