Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247659           1           6          64          25           4        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114189           3           3          73          18           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   2.28439e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        3.75       54.00       34.25        6.50     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M4.2