Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246883           2          13          56          23           6        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112683           3           4          66          19           8        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   2.00897e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.75        6.25       53.50       31.00        7.50     C6.6
 
realized                                                                                      M6.7