Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253672           1           0          67          27           5        C5.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121433           1           4          65          27           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   3.61622e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            59           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.00        6.00       54.75       32.25        6.00     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      X1.3