Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246094           2          15          53          23           7        C5.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110432           3          10          65          14           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   2.39131e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.25       10.00       51.00       28.75        8.00     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      M5.3