Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242178           2          13          62          19           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103551           3          20          52          21           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.00199e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.50       15.25       49.75       26.50        6.00     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C9.6