Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232120           7          42          45           6           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000878568          11          43          41           5           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   5.51733e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.7
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             5.00       25.00       56.75       12.00        1.25     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5