Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230703          11          40          38          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000854920          13          49          35           3           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   3.74303e-07           1           4          78          17           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             6.75       27.00       55.00       11.00        0.25     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1