Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230911          10          39          40          11           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000861734          13          46          36           5           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   4.32509e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             6.50       26.50       56.00        9.75        1.25     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C6.0