Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231117           9          38          42          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000864058          12          47          37           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   4.32865e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             6.25       27.50       55.50        9.75        1.00     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1