Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231136           9          39          41          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000858746          14          49          33           4           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.09670e-07           1           1          80          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                             7.50       35.75       47.00        9.50        0.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4