Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230903          10          39          40          11           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000854212          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   3.55016e-07           3           4          77          16           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.75       36.75       45.50        9.00        0.00     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9