Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230840          10          39          40          11           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000860692          14          47          34           5           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   3.31720e-07           4           8          74          14           0        C2.2
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             8.25       35.25       47.00        9.50        0.00     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C5.2