Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231962           7          41          45           7           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000883873           7          41          45           7           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   4.22084e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             5.50       34.50       51.00        8.50        0.50     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B6.5