Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233250           4          49          36          11           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000908137           5          52          35           8           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   5.47739e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C6.0
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                             6.75       41.00       39.50       12.00        0.75     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3