Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237152           1          28          57          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000980931           3          21          52          21           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   8.79065e-07           1           0          49          44           6        M1.0
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             1.25       16.25       57.00       22.50        3.00     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      M3.4