Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237849           5          25          55          13           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100326           2          17          56          23           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   9.32569e-07           1           0          45          45           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       15.50       54.50       24.00        3.50     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9