Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238106           5          26          56          11           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100699           1          16          55          25           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   9.13478e-07           1           0          46          45           8        M1.1
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.00       14.75       55.00       24.75        3.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      M3.6