Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236887           1          30          57          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000985074           3          19          52          23           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   7.83105e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =            59           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.75       17.00       56.00       22.00        3.25     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C5.3