Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237903           5          26          54          13           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100378           2          18          55          22           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   8.83792e-07           1           0          47          47           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =            64           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             2.75       13.75       53.75       26.75        3.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0