Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237068           1          29          57          12           1        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100415           1          17          57          22           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   7.99439e-07           1           0          52          39           8        C9.0
est. ISN   =            64           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             1.25       14.50       56.25       24.50        3.50     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0