Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238020           5          26          56          12           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100915           1          17          54          25           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.89446e-07           1           0          48          46           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =            64           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             2.50       13.50       54.25       27.00        2.75     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      M3.2