Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238680           5          19          57          17           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102422           3          15          54          24           4        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   9.27742e-07           1           0          46          44           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             2.25        9.50       56.25       27.75        4.25     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0