Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237720           4          26          57          11           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100824           1          17          55          24           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.36394e-07           1           0          53          37           9        C8.4
est. ISN   =            63           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.50       13.75       55.50       24.25        4.00     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.1