Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238586           5          20          56          17           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101874           2          18          57          21           2        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   9.68567e-07           1           0          35          53          11        M1.2
est. ISN   =            69           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             2.00       11.00       54.00       28.75        4.25     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6