Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236969           1          29          58          11           1        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000994513           2          20          50          24           4        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   8.08468e-07           1           0          53          37           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             1.25       12.50       55.00       26.25        5.00     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9