Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237135           1          28          57          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000994525           2          20          50          24           4        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   8.18427e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             0.75       14.50       54.75       25.50        4.50     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9