Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235926           4          34          51          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000971340           2          28          50          17           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   7.03571e-07           1           0          56          35           8        C8.5
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             2.00       17.25       56.25       21.25        3.25     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5