Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234544           4          47          35          13           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000940570           1          37          51          11           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   6.18963e-07           1           0          65          30           4        C6.5
est. ISN   =            74           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.50       23.00       51.75       21.75        2.00     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C6.3