Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233284           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000912652           8          50          36           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   5.25591e-07           2           0          64          31           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             4.25       27.00       50.00       17.50        1.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4