Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232173           6          42          47           5           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000891335           4          44          44           8           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   4.43662e-07           1           1          83          14           1        C3.8
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             3.50       26.25       59.75       10.00        0.50     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2