Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230657          11          42          36          11           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000862978          13          46          37           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   3.12424e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             7.75       30.50       53.00        8.25        0.50     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6